Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 4.745909 5.261219 5.811978 6.444961 7.153032 7.921465 8.819605
2026-01-18 3.895425 4.603568 5.413910 6.412162 7.612099 9.012074 10.775161
2026-01-25 3.281339 4.085157 5.057822 6.326772 7.946388 9.954742 12.649910
2026-02-01 2.826180 3.675180 4.751856 6.226410 8.207302 10.795866 14.466710
2026-02-08 2.475674 3.341961 4.485814 6.119732 8.414984 11.555749 16.232774
2026-02-15 2.219694 3.097092 4.297853 6.078745 8.682843 12.397667 18.181175
2026-02-22 2.064749 2.969782 4.249935 6.215897 9.200135 13.626633 20.813626
2026-03-01 1.887760 2.789552 4.103205 6.184575 9.452152 14.473119 22.943012
2026-03-08 1.698865 2.571647 3.876927 6.003835 9.445871 14.906950 24.446033
2026-03-15 1.566186 2.425648 3.743573 5.949377 9.624610 15.638293 26.503303
2026-03-22 1.492394 2.363831 3.733406 6.087099 10.123671 16.934587 29.662950
2026-03-29 1.426634 2.308199 3.726411 6.225864 10.632451 18.290189 33.075563
2026-04-05 1.341811 2.216251 3.655335 6.254794 10.963572 19.387630 36.186398
2026-04-12 1.248631 2.102699 3.538614 6.193323 11.127210 20.201211 38.863153
2026-04-19 1.159198 1.988177 3.410398 6.098493 11.218213 20.886252 41.368800
2026-04-26 1.077560 1.880641 3.285252 5.996711 11.283612 21.524758 43.853173
2026-05-03 1.003356 1.780462 3.164902 5.892022 11.330809 22.127997 46.332270
2026-05-10 0.945036 1.704600 3.082558 5.851716 11.499279 22.988108 49.468112
2026-05-17 0.914394 1.677508 3.088238 5.982915 12.026122 24.638743 54.571871
2026-05-24 0.865679 1.612496 3.016704 5.952676 12.213236 25.587094 58.185419
2026-05-31 0.803895 1.517895 2.880902 5.779159 12.078030 25.819032 60.131330
2026-06-07 0.761016 1.457100 2.806755 5.726865 12.199184 26.628759 63.577025
2026-06-14 0.741205 1.440551 2.819406 5.859014 12.740797 28.448960 69.785959